000
FZNT02 KNHC 071557
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 18.1N 85.0W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
07 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS AND 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.0N
89.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
70 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO OVER WATER NEAR 19.4N 93.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT...15 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.2N
96.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.0N
100.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO 
WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...150 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 75W AND 
78W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM NE QUADRANT... 300 NM SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT 
OF CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...OVER 
GULF OF MEXICO WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER OF 
ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. OVER CARIBBEAN 
WATERS W OF 86W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 17N46W 1008 MB. 
WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE DISSIPATED. 
TROUGH FROM 23N53W TO 18N55W TO 15N57W. FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 
50W AND 57W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT E TO SE BEHIND 
TROUGH. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 26N61W TO 19N66W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N36W 1012 MB. WITHIN 270 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 66W AND 74W E WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18N BETWEEN 68W AND 74W AND FROM 14N TO 
18N BETWEEN 74W AND 80W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.