000
FZNT02 KNHC 071019
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 17.5N 83.9W 993 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
07 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE 
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 18.8N 88.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE AND 60 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.3N 
90.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO OVER WATER NEAR 19.4N
92.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...20 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 19.3N 96.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.0N
99.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OF FLORENCE NEAR 17N45W 1008 MB 
MOVING W AT 15 KT. WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF FLORENCE...NEAR 18N53W
1011 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 61W...REMNANTS OF FLORENCE. FROM 
20N TO 23N BETWEEN 56W AND 61W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
FT.

.ATLC S OF 24N BETWEEN 73W AND 79W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES JUST E OF AREA NEAR 13N34W 1013 
MB. FROM 16N TO 19N E OF 40W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N36W 1012 MB. WITHIN 270 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNING...OVER CARIBBEAN 
WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF 
ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N 
TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNING...OVER GULF 
OF MEXICO AND CARIBBEAN WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N BETWEEN 80W AND 83W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 10 FT. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W NE TO E WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N W OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 67W AND 74W E TO SE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO 
WARNING...S OF 24N BETWEEN 84W AND 92W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
TO 10 FT...HIGHEST YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNING...WITHIN 
330 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF ERNESTO...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.