000
FZNT02 KNHC 070249
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 16.5N 82.1W 995 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
07 MOVING W NW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 
KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...90 
NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 18.3N 86.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 18.9N 
89.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
FROM 16N TO 21N W OF 86W  WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ALONG THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA COAST NEAR 19.3N 91.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE
..70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT WITHIN
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 19.5N 94.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 19.4N 97.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.2N
99.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OF FLORENCE NEAR 17N42W 1019 MB 
MOVING W AT 13 KT. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF FLORENCE...NEAR 18N49W
1010 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF FLORENCE...DISSIPATING
NEAR 19N56W. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES JUST E OF AREA NEAR 13N34W 1013 
MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N37W 1012 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW
AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N W OF 78W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF
12N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF 
ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 
70W AND 80W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER CARIBBEAN 
FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 21N W OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 66W AND 74W E WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N BETWEEN 85W AND 91W NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS S OF 23N BETWEEN
85W AND 92W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...HIGHEST
NEAR NE PART OF YUCATAN PENINSULA AND YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 22N BETWEEN 
88W AND 94W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS S OF 20N.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.