000
FZNT02 KNHC 062214
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 06 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 08.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 16.2N 81.6W 995 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
06 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...90 
NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 18.0N 85.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM NE QUADRANT...120 M S SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.2N 
90.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER FROM 16N TO 20N W OF 85W 
WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 19.5N 94.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 19.5N 96.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.0N
99.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OF FLORENCE NEAR 17N41W 1009 MB 
MOVING W AT 13 KT. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF FLORENCE...NEAR 17N46W
1010 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF FLORENCE...DISSIPATING
NEAR 19N56W. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 FT.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N W OF 78W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF
12N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF 
ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 
70W AND 80W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER CARIBBEAN 
FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 21N W OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 66W AND 74W E WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N BETWEEN 85W AND 91W NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 23N BETWEEN
87W AND 94W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.