000
FZNT02 KNHC 061017
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON AUG 06 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 08.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.1N 80.5W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
06 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 16.2N 84.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT 
AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 17.7N 
88.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...50 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ON THE COAST NEAR 18.7N 
92.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ON THE COAST NEAR 19.0N
96.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.0N
98.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF 
ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 
66W AND 74W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNING...WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 68W AND 77W E TO 
SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNING...OVER 
CARIBBEAN FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER 
OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
12N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE NEAR 16.2N 38.8W 1009 MB AT 0900 
UTC AUG 06 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT. WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE NEAR 16.6N 44.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 210 NM N AND 
30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 18.1N 
51.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 270 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 20.4N 
58.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 23.5N
64.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. S OF 25N BETWEEN 77W AND 81W SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W INCLUDING N 
ENTRANCE TO WINDWARD PASSAGE E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO 48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 24N BETWEEN 85W AND 91W 
INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
N YUCATAN CHANNEL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.