000
FZNT02 KNHC 060301
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON AUG 06 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 08.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.0N 79.7W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
06 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 16.1N 83.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT NE QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO JUST INLAND NEAR 17.9N 
87.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...50 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM NW 
QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT NE QUADRANT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO W OF AREA NEAR 19.0N 
91.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 20.5N 95.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 20.5N 98.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 16.2N 37.8W 1008 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 06 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 90 NM SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 
FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE NEAR 16.3N 39.9W. 
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE NEAR 16.7N 43.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE NEAR 18.1N 50.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT WITHIN
45 NM N SEMICIRCLE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 19.9N
57.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 22.0N 
62.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 25.0N
67.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
BETWEEN 69W AND 75W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 67W AND 77W E TO 
SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
N OF 12N BETWEEN 68W AND 83W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FLORENCE WARNINGS...FROM 15N TO 19N E 
OF 38W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FLORENCE WARNINGS...WITHIN
240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FLORENCE WARNINGS...WITHIN
240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.ATLC FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 68W AND 76W E TOM SE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT BETWEEN BAHAMAS AND 68W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N BETWEEN 71W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.