000
FZNT02 KNHC 051528
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 07.

.WARNINGS.


...CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.0N 77.1W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
05 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 20 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.4N 81.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER  WITHIN 
210 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 16.5N 85.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT... 
100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 18.0N
89.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 20.0N 92.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 21.5N 96.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 16.5N 35.6W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC
AUG 05 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50
KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...30
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 16.9N 40.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 18.0N 46.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM NW AND 75 NM SE SEMICIRLCE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 19.5N 53.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE NEAR 21.5N 59.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 24.0N
64.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.


FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FLORENCE WARNINGS FROM 15N TO 19N E OF 
38W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FLORENCE WARNINGS FROM 15N 
TO 20N E OF 43W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FLORENCE WARNINGS FROM 
15N TO 22N BETWEEN 43W AND 50W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.ATLC FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 68W AND 76W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N BETWEEN 71W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 67W AND 77W E TO 
SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF ERNESTO WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 68W AND 
85W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.