000
FZNT02 KNHC 041018
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 06.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 14.1N 67.2W 1001 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
04 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO XX FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.1N 73.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 16.3N 79.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
210 NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 17.5N 83.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 19.5N 86.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 21.5N 90.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX NEAR 14.2N 29.1W 1008 MB AT 0900 UTC 
AUG 04 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX NEAR 15.5N 32.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX NEAR 16.2N 37.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX NEAR 16.7N 43.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIX NEAR 17.5N
50.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIX NEAR 19.0N
56.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC S OF 21N BETWEEN 59W AND 68W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 24N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N BETWEEN 71W AND 81W E TO SE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM SIX 
WARNINGS...FROM 14N TO 16N E OF 36W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM SIX 
WARNINGS...FROM 15N TO 18N E OF 40W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...N OF 13N E OF 
72W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N E OF 67W E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. N OF 18N BETWEEN 73W AND 80W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
270 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 67W AND 75W E 
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 81W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18N W OF 85W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.