000
FZNT02 KNHC 032215
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI AUG 3 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 03
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 04
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 05

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 13.9N 64.1W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
03 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 14.7N 69.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.9N 76.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...45 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 17.0N 81.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 19.0N 84.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 21.0N 88.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 90 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM NE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO
18N BETWEEN 66W AND 74W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 31N76W TO 1013 MB LOW AT 25N79W TO 23N81W. 
WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM 
OF TROUGH AND LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 30N79W TO 23N82W. WINDS AND SEAS
HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM E OF TROUGH.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N BETWEEN 57W AND 68W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N BETWEEN 61W AND 73W E TO SE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N BETWEEN 64W AND 74W E TO SE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 81W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.