000
FZNT02 KNHC 031615
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI AUG 3 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 03
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 04
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 05

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 13.7N 62.3W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
03 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE...60 NM 
SE...0 NM SW AND 50 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 14.4N 68.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE...40 NM SE...20 NM SW AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE...45 NM SE... 
20 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.5N 74.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE...50 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 65 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE...60 NM SE... 
30 NM SW AND 75 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 17.0N 80.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 18.5N 83.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 20.5N 87.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM 
NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM NE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 67W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT IN CARIBBEAN...AND TO 9 FT ATLC.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 81W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.