000
FZNT02 KNHC 022159
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 2 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 04

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 12.8N 56.6W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
02 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 19 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT
...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 13.2N 62.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 14.2N 68.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.5N 75.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 17.0N 80.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 18.5N 83.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM NE
AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM NE 
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 71W AND 76W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 73W AND 80W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.