000
FZNT02 KNHC 012215
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 31.6N 62.6W 952 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 01
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 23 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 41 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 40.0N 60.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 420 SE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 35 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 48.0N 
48.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...220 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
240 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM SW AND 
150 NM NE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 50.0N 
31.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.2N 49.1W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
01 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.9N 52.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.7N 57.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 26.5N 61.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 28.5N 61.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 32.0N 57.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM E 
AND WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N BETWEEN 60W AND 62W S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFT N OF AREA.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 
WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING...WITHIN 
240 NM NE AND WITHIN 120 N SW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N BETWEEN 45W AND 60W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILLIPE WARNING...WITHIN 
210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SE SWELL.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N72W TO 26N80W. N OF 27N W 
OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N68W TO 23N80W. WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N E OF 43W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 75W E WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N E OF 78W E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT 30N82W TO 72N97W. N OF FRONT N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. S OF 21N W OF 94W NW TO N 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 23N80W TO 22N89W S OF 24N E OF 90W 
NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.