000
FZNT02 KNHC 011551
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 29.5N 62.9W 952 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 01 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 39 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 37.0N 61.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E AND WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 37 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 46.5N
52.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 170 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...105 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM E AND WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 50.5N
33.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.8N 48.0W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC 
OCT 01 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE 
QUADRANT...45 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.9N 51.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.9N 55.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PHILIPPE NEAR 26.0N 59.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...WITHIN 390 NM E 
AND WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFT N OF AREA.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 
WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING...WITHIN 
240 NM NE AND WITHIN 120 N SW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILLIPE WARNING...WITHIN 
210 NM NE AND WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 55W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 45W AND 55W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N E OF 45W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL. N OF 29N E OF 38W N 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.ATLC COLD FRONT 31N76W TO 28N81W. NW OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N72W TO 25N80W. N OF 27N W OF 
FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N70W TO 24N81W. N OF 27N W OF 
FRONT TO 78W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE 
AND NW SWELL. N OF 27N E OF FRONT TO 65W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH 31N66W TO 25N73W. WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 14N BETWEEN 67W AND 71W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 14N E OF 75W E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 16N E OF 76W E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT 26N82W TO 26N97W. N OF FRONT E OF 95W 
N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. S OF 21N W OF 94W NW 
TO N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FRONT SE OF AREA. N OF 24N E OF 92W NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 21N W OF 94W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 24N E OF 90W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.