000
FZNT02 KNHC 010251
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 26.2N 63.1W 956 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 01 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...120 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA N OF AREA NEAR 32.4N 62.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA N OF AREA NEAR 42.5N 59.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...105 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 
AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 50.0N 
42.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA ABSORBED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.0N 46.4W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC 
OCT 01 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.5N 49.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 26.5N 53.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PHILIPPE NEAR 27.0N 57.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PHILIPPE NEAR 28.0N 60.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 31.0N 60.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NE 
QUADRANT...330 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM 
NW QUADRANT OF OPHELIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 55W AND 67W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 25N TO 28N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W AND N OF 
28N BETWEEN 67W AND 71W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF 
PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF 
PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N 
OF 23N BETWEEN 48W AND 60W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 
FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL...HIGHEST N CENTRAL PORTION.

.ATLC N OF 28N E OF 57W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL. N OF 28N BETWEEN 40W AND 55W E TO SE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT...HIGHEST CENTRAL PORTION.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 25N E OF 45W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.ATLC 06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N78W TO 29N81W. NW OF 
FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N71W TO 28N75W TO 27N80W. NW 
OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 31N66W TO 27N68W 
TO 23N75W. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 14N BETWEEN 67W AND 71W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 14N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 14N E OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA.

.GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT FROM 29N83W TO 27N90W TO 26N97W. NW 
OF FRONT TO 90W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 25N81W TO 23N92W 
TO 18N95W. NW OF FRONT TO 92W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
CENTRAL PORTION. S OF 21N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.