000
FZNT02 KNHC 301552
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OPHELIA AT 23.5N 62.8W 960 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 30 
MOVING N-NW OR 345 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 100 
GUSTS 120 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT... 
90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 28.5N 63.0W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 95 GUSTS 115 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE...180 NM SE 
...150 NM NW AND 120 NM SW AND SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 37.0N 60.5W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 85 GUSTS 105 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E AND 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 46.0N
52.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 52.0N
32.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE AT 22.9N 45.3W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
30 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 11 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 
GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT 
...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.6N 48.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...45 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.7N 51.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 15 
NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION PHILIPPE NEAR 25.5N 55.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION PHILIPPE NEAR 25.0N 60.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 26.0N 62.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...WINDS TO 33 KT.  
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING... 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...N OF 29N FROM 60W TO 65W  S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 
WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING... 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS TO 
33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING... 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS TO 
33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.ATLC COLD FRONT 28N35W TO 28N45W.  N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 KT.  
SEAS TO 10 FT IN N AND NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FRONT DISSIPATED. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N E OF 53W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  CONDITIONS MERGE WITH PHILIPPE.

.ATLC 18 HOUR FORECAST  COLD FRONT 31N76W TO 23N80W.  N OF 30N  
W OF FRONT  NW WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  COLD FRONT 31N75W TO 25N73W STATIONARY TO 
22N78W.  N OF 27N W OF FRONT TO 79W  NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 12 HOUR FORECAST  COLD FRONT 26N82W TO 21N97W.  
N OF 29N W OF FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FRONT SE OF AREA.  N OF 25N E OF 95W  N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.