000
FZNT02 KNHC 300900
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 22.4N 62.6W 973 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 30 
MOVING N NW OR 345 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 27.0N 63.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 33 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 34.6N 61.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
120 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 44.3N 
57.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 51.5N 
38.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 21.9N 44.9W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 30 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 23.9N 47.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.9N 51.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PHILIPPE NEAR 25.1N 55.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PHILIPPE NEAR 25.0N 58.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.5N 62.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...FORECAST  
WATERS WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 55W AND 67W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 
WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING... 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNING... 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT 30N35W TO 28N46W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N AND NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N E OF 55W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGE WITH PHILIPPE.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N75W TO 23N78W. N OF 28N W 
OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N69W TO 26N73W STATIONARY TO 
22N78W. N OF 27N W OF FRONT TO 79W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 12N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 13N BETWEEN 62W AND 73W NE TO E WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 27N82W TO 21N97W.
N OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT SE OF AREA. N OF 22N E OF 92W NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.