000
FZNT02 KNHC 300303
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 21.9N 62.3W 979 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 30 
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...60 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 25.7N 63.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...
210 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA N OF AREA NEAR 32.8N 62.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS OVER FORECAST WATERS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 43.5N 58.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 52.0N 
43.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA 
DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 21.2N 44.0W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC 
SEP 30 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 23.5N 47.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OF SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.8N 50.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OF SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.5N 54.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.5N 58.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 25.0N 61.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
OPHELIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT OF OPHELIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF OPHELIA WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 55W 
AND 65W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM 
QUADRANT OF PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT OF PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF 
PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 30N35W TO 29N40W TO 29N50W. N OF FRONT NE 
TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 27N50W 
THEN TROUGH TO 31N55W. N OF FRONT AND TROUGH NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT AND TROUGH DISSIPATED. N OF 28N E 
OF 45W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. N OF 28N 
BETWEEN 45W AND 55W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT 
IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N79W TO 29N81W. NW OF 
FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N70W TO 27N71W TO 21N75W. N 
OF 28N E OF FRONT TO 65W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL. N OF 28N W OF FRONT TO 78W W TO NW WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 12 HR FORECAST S OF 14N BETWEEN 66W AND 71W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 14N E OF 72W E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 29N83W TO 
27N90W TO 27N97W. N OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 25N82W TO 23N92W 
THEN DISSIPATING STATIONARY TO 18N94W. N OF FRONT E OF 92W N TO 
NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 21N W OF 94W NW TO N WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.