000
FZNT02 KNHC 291608
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU SEP 29 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA NEAR 20.9N 61.8W 991 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
29 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 24.0N 63.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...105 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT...WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 29.5N 63.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 38.5N 60.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR 50.0N
52.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL OPHELIA NEAR
55.0N 40.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 18.6N 42.6W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC
SEP 29 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 45 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...30
NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 21.1N 45.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 23.1N 
49.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.0N 53.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 24.5N 57.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PHILIPPE NEAR 24.5N
60.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
180 NM NW QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT OF OPHELIA WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
OPHELIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 300 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
OPHELIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT 
120 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM QUADRANT OF 
PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N35W TO 30N45W. N OF FRONT 
NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 29N35W TO 30N50W. N OF FRONT NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 27N E OF 50W NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N80W TO 29N81W. NW OF FRONT 
NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N75W TO 27N80W NW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.CARIBBEAN 24 HR FORECAST S OF 15N E OF 73W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 39N83W TO 29N94W. N 
OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 25N82W TO 26N95W. N OF FRONT N TO 
NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.