000
FZNT02 KNHC 031511
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC THU SEP 03 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC BETWEEN 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 05.

.WARNINGS.


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 16.9N 63.5W 1010 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
03 MOVING W NW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA INLAND NEAR 18.4N 
66.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER OVER OPEN WATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 
16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA NEAR 20.0N 68.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
OVER OPEN WATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW ERIKA NEAR 21.5N 71.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW ERIKA NEAR 23.0N 73.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 31N77W TO 27N80W. WITHIN 480 NM E OF TROUGH SE 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC FROM 18N TO 25N E OF 48W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 22N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 50W AND 40W NE TO E 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 77W NE TO E 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 63W AND 73W E TO SE 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON/SHAW. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.