000
FZNT02 KNHC 020922
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 04

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE NOEL NEAR 28.4N 75.2W 981 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 02
MOVING NNE OR 030 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE..60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...60 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 35.4N 71.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT AND 300 
NM SW QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 44.9N 65.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 480 NM E SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM 
NW QUADRANT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 56.0N 56.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL INLAND NEAR 64.5N 
50.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 27N BETWEEN 68W AND 79W 
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 29N 
BETWEEN 65W AND 74W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL AND GALE WARNINGS...
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT 28N35W 25N45W. NW OF FRONT TO 65W AND N 
OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
22N BETWEEN 45W AND 70W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN E SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL AND GALE WARNINGS...N 
OF 26NE OF 50W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. N OF 
26N FROM 50W TO 65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 50W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT WITH NE SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N69W 21N74W. N OF 27N W OF FRONT 
NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN N SWELL. N OF 27N E OF 
FRONT TO 60W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST SEAS ALONG 31N. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N E OF 
60W TO 45W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 27N E 
OF 45W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT 31N63W 20N72W. S OF 25N 
W OF FRONT NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL. N OF 28N E 
OF FRONT TO 60W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT HIGHEST 
SEAS ALONG 31N. 

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH 21N79W 11N80W. N OF 15N W OF TROUGH N WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 17N E OF TROUGH TO 
73W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 20N76W 12N80W. N OF 17N W OF TROUGH N 
TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT 20N74W 16N83W. W OF FRONT N 
TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E OF 88W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT S 
OF 25N IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N E OF 90W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT YUCATAN CHANNEL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH