000
FZNT02 KNHC 292144
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 29
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 30
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 01

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 15.6N 29.5W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
29 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 17.0N 33.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA NEAR 19.0N 37.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA DISSIPATING NEAR
21.5N 41.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MELISSA NEAR 24.0N 44.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MELISSA NEAR 26.0N 45.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO NEAR 20.8N 99.0W 1008 MB AT 2100 
UTC SEP 28 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.  
.12 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW 19.9N 54.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 19.0N 56.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.  WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 20.5N 57.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.  WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 22N 58W. WITHIN LITTLE CHANGE 
IN WINDS OR SEAS.

.ATLC COLD FRONT 31N72W 28N81W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N66W 25N80W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 31N68W 23N80W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MELISSA WARNINGS.
FROM 15N TO 18N W OF 37W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MELISSA WARNING. FROM 16 
N TO 19N W OF 39W SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 16N FROM 63W TO 77W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N FROM 70W TO 75W E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO 12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 
KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 89W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 92W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8
TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH