000
FZNT02 KNHC 291505
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 29
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 30
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 01

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 15.2N 28.4W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
29 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 16.5N 31.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA NEAR 18.5N 35.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA DISSIPATING NEAR
20.0N 39.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MELISSA NEAR 21.5N 42.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MELISSA NEAR 23.5N 45.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 16.8N 53.8W 1009 MB AT 1500 UTC 
SEP 29 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND SE QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 19.0N 56.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.  WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 20.5N 57.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.  WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 22N 58W. WITHIN LITTLE CHANGE 
IN WINDS OR SEAS.

.ATLC COLD FRONT 31N74W 29N81W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N66W 25N81W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 31N69W 24N81W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MELISSA WARNINGS.
FROM 15N TO 18N W OF 37W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 16N FROM 67W TO 77W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N FROM 68W TO 73W E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO 12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 
KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 89W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 92W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8
TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH