000
FZNT02 KNHC 270304
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 27
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 28
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 29

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 13.0N 45.1W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 27
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 15.2N 48.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 17.5N 51.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 19.4N 54.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 21.0N 57.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 22.5N 58.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN NEAR 21.2N 94.8W 1007 MB AT 0300
UTC SEP 27 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.9N 95.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM INLAND NEAR 21.0N 97.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN INLAND NEAR 21.5N
99.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS.  WITHIN 210 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 300 NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS. WITHIN 
180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS. LITTLE 
CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS. S OF 
24N W OF 90W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N80W 28N81W TO LOW 24N81W 1012 MB. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 150 NM E OF TROUGH SE WIND TO 20 KT  
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  SCATTERED TSTMS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 29N78W 1012 MB.  WITHIN 180 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS NE OF AREA.
   
.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W 
NE TO E WIND TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH