000
FZNT02 KNHC 171605
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI AUG 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 18

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 14.6N 62.6W 964 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 17
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE...100 
NM SE...50 NM SW...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE...200 NM SE...60 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW 
WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 15.8N 69.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE AND 75 NM SW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 270 NM NE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 17.5N 75.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE AND 80 NM SW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE...240 NM SE...180 
SW...AND 120 NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 42 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 19.5N 82.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN INLAND NEAR 21.5N 88.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 24.0N 94.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 
480 NM NE...420 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 12 TO 18 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 
12N TO 23N BETWEEN 54W AND 63W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480 
NM E AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
20N TO 26N BETWEEN 65W AND 78W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.

.ATLC FROM 12N TO 24N E OF 50W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 27N E OF 50W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT WITH NE SWELL. FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 50W 
AND 60W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 51W S OF 23N. FROM 17N TO 
27N E OF 62W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN E 
SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 69W AND 79W E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 77W AND 82W E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/MILLS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH