000
FZNT02 KNHC 162216
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 18

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 14.0N 56.5W 979 MB AT 2100 UTC 16 MOVING W 
OR 280 DEG AT 20 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 100 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 15.0N 63.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 125 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 16.0N 70.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 125 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH HIGHEST SEAS 36 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 17.5N 78.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 19.5N 84.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 22.0N 90.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
...300 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 540 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND 75W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT TO 30 KT NEAR HISPANIOLA AND WINDWARD
PASSAGE SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN E SWELL.

.ATLC FROM 13N TO 23N E OF 42W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 25N E OF 50W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 44W S OF 26N. FROM 15N TO 
26N E OF WAVE NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 15N E OF 50W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM 
NW AND 150 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 68W AND 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 
KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE N OF 
15N BETWEEN 65W AND 72W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF
15N E OF 70W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 15N TO 19N
BETWEEN 72W AND 78W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH