000
FZNT02 KNHC 151559
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 15 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 17

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DEAN NEAR 12.4N 46.0W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 15 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DEAN NEAR 13.1N 52.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...360 NE AND 210 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 14.2N 59.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 15.5N 66.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 16.5N 72.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 18.0N 78.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 25.6N 93.5W 1005 MB AT 1530 UTC AUG 15 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
60 NM NE QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 26.5N 97.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE AND 25 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN INLAND NEAR 27.0N 
99.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW ERIN NEAR 28.5N 100.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE AND 150 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 24N E OF 60W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480  
NM N SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE AND 150 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 23N E OF 64W NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 
NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 25N E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
11 FT IN NE SWELL.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N66W 27N70W. N OF 28N BETWEEN 55W AND 62W SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N68W 26N72W. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 18N W OF 84W SE WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM FROM 12N TO 18N E OF 77W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N E OF 66W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT EXCEPT 12 FT IN SWELL NE ATLC PASSAGES.

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM 
SE...300 NM NE...180 NM NW...AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 
NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 94W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N W OF 96W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH