000
FZNT02 KNHC 140911
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE AUG 14 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 14
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 15
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 16

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR NEAR 12.0N 36.8W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC
AUG 14 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.   
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 12.1N 42.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 12.7N 47.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 14.0N 53.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 16.0N 59.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 18.5N 63.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 22N E OF 45W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM 11N38W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM N 
AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT AND SCATTERED TSTMS. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 23N E 
OF 50W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM N 
AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT AND NUMEROUS TSTMS. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 23N
E OF 62W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL.

.ATLC FRONTAL TROUGH 31N67W 26N77W. N OF 27N E OF TROUGH TO 55W 
SW TO W WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH 31N65W 24N75W. N OF 28N WITHIN 
360 NM E OF TROUGH SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT ALONG 31N.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATING 31N65W 23N73W. WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT SEAS LES THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 18N W OF 78W SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 17N W OF 82W SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17N E OF 80W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
9 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 16N W OF 82W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES 22N87W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 90 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
24N94W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT AND SCATTERED TSTMS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
24N97W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT AND SCATTERED TSTMS.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH