000
FZNT02 KNHC 161459
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN 

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 18

.WARNINGS...
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GORDON NEAR 31.3N 53.7W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 16
MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 160 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GORDON N OF AREA NEAR 33.6N 
52.6W. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF AREA.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HELENE NEAR 18.8N 45.6W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 16 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 125 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 225 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HELENE NEAR 20.4N 48.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HELENE NEAR 21.9N 50.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...175 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HELENE NEAR 23.5N 53.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HELENE NEAR 25.5N 56.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HELENE NEAR 28.5N 58.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GORDON WARNINGS.  N OF 28N BETWEEN 
48W AND 58W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N BETWEEN 48W AND 55W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HELENE WARNINGS. WITHIN 360 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 25N E OF 50W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HELENE WARNINGS. WITHIN 
420 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HELENE WARNINGS. WITHIN 
480 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 65W AND 76W E WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 70W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST W OF 95W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN  8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF 90W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER