000
FZNT02 KNHC 292056
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE AUG 29 2006
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 29
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 30
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 31

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ATLC AND E GULF OF MEXICO...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 24.3N 80.2W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC  29
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 27.5N 
81.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. HIGHEST 
SEAS 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 32.5N 79.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 37.0N 
78.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW ERNESTO NEAR 40.5N 78.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW ERNESTO NEAR 43.0N 78.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT AND NUMEROUS TSTMS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...OVER 
WATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT AND SCATTERED TSTMS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.ATLC LOW 18N43W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 18N45W 1010 MB. LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 18N52W 1010 MB. LITTLE CHANGE.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 13N BETWEEN 65W AND 73W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18N BETWEEN 67W AND 75W E WINDS 20 
KT...EXCEPT TO 25 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 27N E OF 83W 
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST E OF 84W W TO NW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER FORMOSA / NELSON
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER