000
FZNT02 KNHC 271512
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN AUG 27 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 27
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 28
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 29

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 17.6N 73.7W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 27
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...225 NM SE QUADRANT...50 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 20.0N 76.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 23.1N 80.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 25.5N 82.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 28.0N 82.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 31.0N 81.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY NEAR 29.6N 49.2W 1012 MB AT 1500 UTC
AUG 27 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE
AND 25 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT LOW NEAR 35.5N 46.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC..EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE
AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS N OF AREA.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W NE TO WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SE BAHAMAS AND THE CUBAN COAST 
SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 28N W OF 76W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF 
HURRICANE ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 15W W OF 78W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF 
HURRICANE ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N BETWEEN 95W AND 90W E TO SE WINDS TO
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER