000
FZNT02 KNHC 270340
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN AUG 27 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 27
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 28
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 29

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY NEAR 27.9N 48.5W 1012 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 27 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT LOW NEAR 32.1N 48.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 16.8N 72.7W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
27 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 225 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 19.2N 76.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 225 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 21.8N 80.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 225 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 24.0N 84.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 26.5N 86.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 29.0N 87.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE 120 NM OF CENTER DEBBY 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM 
OF REMNANT LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS N OF AREA.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N W OF 65W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 27N W OF 76W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N E OF 79W E 
TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 85W 
NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N BETWEEN 
65W AND 85W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 85W 
NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W 
OF 65W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N BETWEEN 95W AND 90W E TO SE WINDS TO
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER TORRES
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER