000
FZNT02 KNHC 261529
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 26
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 27
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 28

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY NEAR 25.6N 47.3W 1009 MB AT 1500 UTC
AUG 26 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 
KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 29.5N 49.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT AND SEAS TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT LOW NEAR 33.0N 48.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT AND SEAS TO 15 FT.
48 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 15.1N 71.2W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
26 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...0 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 17.0N 75.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO OVER WATER NEAR 19.9N 80.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO OVER WESTERN CUBA NEAR 22.5N 
84.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO OVER WATER NEAR 24.5N 87.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 27.0N 88.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE 120 NM OF CENTER DEBBY 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM 
OF REMNANT LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS N OF AREA.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 65W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N W OF 65W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 24N W OF 75W ELY WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N E OF 79W E 
TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 83W 
NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N BETWEEN 
65W AND 83W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 85W 
NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W 
OF 65W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N BETWEEN 95W AND 90W E TO SE WINDS TO
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER