000
FZNT02 KNHC 252135
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 25
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 26
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 27

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DEBBY NEAR 24.9N 44.7W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 25
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DEBBY NEAR 28.2N 48.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DEBBY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
NEAR 32.7N 48.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW DEBBY NEAR 39.0N 43.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW DEBBY NEAR 46.0N 34.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 14.3N 67.6W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
25 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO NEAR 16.0N 72.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 
NM NE SEMICIRCLES WITH HIGHEST SEAS 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18.0N
77.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 
22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO OVER WATER NEAR 20.5N 82.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 23.0N 85.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 24.5N 88.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 65W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 24N BETWEEN 70W AND 79W NE TO E WINDS
TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THEN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W E 
TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER