000
FZNT02 KNHC 021531
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 02 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 04

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CHRIS NEAR 19.2N 63.4W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
02 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 65 NM NE...
50 NM SE...25 NM SW AND 35 NM NW QUAD. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 70 NM NE...60 NM SE...40 NM SW AND 50 NM NW QUAD WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CHRIS NEAR 20.3N 66.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM NE...70 NM SE...50 NM SW 
AND 60 NM NW QUAD WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CHRIS NEAR 21.4N 70.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...80 NM SE...60 NM SW 
AND 70 NM NW QUAD WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CHRIS NEAR 22.5N 74.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CHRIS NEAR 23.5N 79.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CHRIS NEAR 24.5N 83.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT...AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 210 NM NE 
SEMICIRLCE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N68W 29N71W. N OF 29N WITHIN 180 NM E OF TROUGH 
SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 77W AND 67W NE TO E WINDS 20 
KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 80W AND 67W E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER