000
FZNT02 KNHC 011518
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 03

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CHRIS NEAR 17.3N 60.3W 1009 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
01 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUAD 
AND 40 NM NE QUAD WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CHRIS NEAR 18.8N 64.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUAD...40 NM NE QUAD AND 20 NM SW QUAD. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW 
SEMICIRLCE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CHRIS NEAR 20.4N 68.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRLCE WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CHRIS NEAR 21.7N 72.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CHRIS NEAR 23.0N 75.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CHRIS NEAR 24.0N 78.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF TS CHRIS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 180 NM NE 
SEMICIRLCE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE TS CHRIS WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N51W 27N52W. N OF 28N WITHIN 120 NM E OF TROUGH  
SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. NW OF TROUGH W WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N48W 27N54W. N OF 29N WITHIN 180 NM E 
OF TROUGH SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N71W 30N75W 31N79W. N OF 30N WITHIN 120 NM E OF 
TROUGH SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT. 

.ATLC S OF 25N BETWEEN 78W AND 68W SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.CARIBBEAN N OF 11N BETWEEN 77W AND 67W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 82W AND 67W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 84W AND 67W E TO SE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SUBSIDING E SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO 09 HOUR FORECAST S OF 24N E OF 85W E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER