000 FZNT02 KNHC 230324 HSFAT2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC THU SEP 23 2004 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO. SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 23 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 24 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 25 WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 25.6N 69.3W 966 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 23 MOVING WSW OR 250 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE...540 NM NE QUADRANT AND 600 NM NW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 32 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 25.5N 71.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. HIGHEST SEAS 38 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 26.0N 75.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 600 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 540 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 41 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 27.5N 78.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 30.0N 80.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 34.0N 78.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE KARL NEAR 30.0N 47.3W 965 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 23 MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 19 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 275 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 200 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 660 NM NE QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 38 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 36.4N 43.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 250 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 175 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 660 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 540 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 38 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL NEAR 47.0N 41.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 275 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 32 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW KARL NEAR 56.0N 31.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW KARL NEAR 63.0N 14.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 13.2N 41.2W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 23 MOVING NEARLY STATIONARY.. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 17 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 13.3N 42.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. HIGHEST SEAS 17 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 14.0N 44.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 W SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 20 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 16.0N 45.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 18.5N 47.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 21.0N 48.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IVAN NEAR 27.4N 90.0W 1007 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 23 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT SW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 16 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVAN NEAR 29.5N 94.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 25 NM SW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW IVAN NEAR 32.0N 96.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW IVAN DISSIPATING NEAR 32.0N 96.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST... .ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JEANNE WARNING...N OF 20N BETWEEN 65W AND 76W WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 9 TO 16 FT IN SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 63W WIND ELY 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN NE SWELL. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JEANNE WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JEANNE WARNING...N OF 21N W OF 67W WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 63W WIND NE TO E 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. .ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING SECTION...OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N E OF KARL AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER...WIND 20 TO 33 KT. EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING SECTION...WITHIN 750 NM N AND 480 NM S OF CENTER SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRLCE OF CENTER. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING AND OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 31N...LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING SECTION AND OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 31N...N OF 27N E OF 40W WIND S TO SW 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NLY SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 50W WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NLY SWELL. .ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LISA WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 180 NE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LISA WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LISA WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE. .ATLC LOW PRES 13N37W 1010 MB MOVING WNW 10 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW PRES WIND 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N40W 1009 MB. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW PRES WIND 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 15N42W 1007 MB. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF LOW PRES WIND 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IVAN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM IN N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WIND 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM IN N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 93W WIND SLY 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. $$ FORECASTER NELSON TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER