000 FZNT02 KNHC 201544 HSFAT2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC MON SEP 20 2004 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO. SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 20 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 21 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 22 WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE KARL NEAR 17.9N 46.3W 955 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 175 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 275 NM OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 45 TO 50 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 20.4N 48.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 325 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 275 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 50 TO 55 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 25.0N 49.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 175 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 50 TO 55 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 32.0N 47.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 41.0N 44.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW KARL NEAR 51.0N 45.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM JEANNE NEAR 26.8N 71.5W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20 MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 350 NM SE QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 27.6N 70.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 125 NM SW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 27.0N 69.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 200 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 25 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 26.5N 68.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JEANNE NEAR 26.0N 69.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JEANNE NEAR 26.5N 69.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 13.6N 35.9W 998 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 14.3N 39.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH 75 NM OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 20 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 15.5N 42.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 26 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 16.8N 45.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 17.0N 48.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LISA NEAR 17.0N 51.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST... .ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...WITHIN 480 NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND OR SEAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...WITHIN 540 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT OF CENTER WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. .ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JEANNE WARNING...N OF 27N W OF 72W WIND NE 25 TO 30 KT SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF JEANNE WIND 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 400 NM SE QUADRANT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JEANNE WARNING...N OF 26N W OF 70W AND N OF 29N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W WIND NE 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF JEANNE WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JEANNE WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 350 NM NE OF CENTER EXCEPT 600 NM NW QUADRANT WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 70W WIND NE TO 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. .ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LISA WARNING..OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LISA WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND OR SEAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LISA WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND AND SEAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. .GULF OF MEXICO N OF 26N E OF 90W WIND NE 20 TO 25 KT SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 24N84W 1012 MB. N OF 26N E OF 92W WIND NE TO E 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 25N89W 1012 MB. N OF 26N E OF 90W WIND E 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 26N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W WIND NE TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER