000
FZNT02 KNHC 261536
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC THU AUG 26 2004
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA
AND GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 26
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 27
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 28

WARNINGS...
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FRANCES AT 13.1N 45.0W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 26 
MOVING W-NW OR 290 DEG AT 15 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 
GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 65 NM N AND 50 NM 
S OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FRANCES NEAR 14.0N 47.0W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND AND 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 70 NM AND 50 NM S OF CENTER WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FRANCES NEAR 15.2N 49.2W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 80 GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
80 NM N AND 65 NM S OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FRANCES NEAR 17.5N 52.3W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 95 GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
100 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WITH HIGHEST SEAS 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FRANCES NEAR 18.6N 54.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 95 GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FRANCES NEAR 20.0N 57.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 95 GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FRANCES NEAR 21.0N 61.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 95 GUSTS 115 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER
WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 18N E OF 50W 
WIND NE TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W  WIND E 20 KT... 
WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR COLOMBIAN COAST.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W
WIND E 20 TO 25 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W 
WIND E 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.

REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER