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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT THU AUG 03 1995
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A HEALTHY CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION... BUT
THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN INFRARED DATA.  INITIAL INTENSITY
WILL MAINTAIN DEPRESSION STATUS AT 30 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST
SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST CLOSE
TO CLIMATOLOGY.
 
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/06.  THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING
SHOULD ALLOW THIS SAME GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.
 
MAYFIELD
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     03/0900Z 13.9N 114.8W    30 KTS
12HR VT     03/1800Z 14.0N 115.6W    35 KTS
24HR VT     04/0600Z 14.1N 117.2W    40 KTS
36HR VT     04/1800Z 14.4N 119.0W    45 KTS
48HR VT     05/0600Z 14.8N 120.8W    50 KTS
72HR VT     06/0600Z 16.0N 124.0W    50 KTS
 
 
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