ZCZC MIAWRKPD2 LOC
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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT TUE JUL 14 1992
 
FRANK CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW A MINIMAL HURRICANE.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A BANDING TYPE EYE IS TRYING TO FORM
AND CONVECTION IS INCREASING NEAR THE CENTER.  SINCE CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED.
 
BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 295/08.  THIS GENERAL TRACK
IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  A PERSISTENT DEEP
LAYER MEAN ANTICYCLONE NORTH OF FRANK IS FORECAST TO EXPAND. THIS
PATTERN MAY FORCE THE HURRICANE ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK AT THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS POSSIBILITY IS SUGGESTED BY MOST OF THE
MODELS AND IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
 
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/2100Z 15.4N 109.5W    65 KTS
12HR VT     15/0600Z 15.9N 110.6W    70 KTS
24HR VT     15/1800Z 16.5N 112.0W    75 KTS
36HR VT     16/0600Z 17.1N 113.5W    85 KTS
48HR VT     16/1800Z 17.5N 115.5W   100 KTS
72HR VT     17/1800Z 19.0N 119.0W   110 KTS