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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 1992
 
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/10...SLIGHTLY MORE OF A NORTHERLY
COMPONENT THAN PREVIOUS TRACK.  12Z AVIATION MODEL AND TRACK
GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW NO SIG CHANGES TO STEERING CURRENTS AND TREACK
FORECAST IS ADJUSTED JUST SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF PREVIOUS ONE.

THE EYE HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT RAGGED DURING PAST FEW HOURS AND
INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS DECREASED TO 115 KNOTS.  CONTINUED SLOW
WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS.

LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     28/2100Z 16.7N 116.9W   115 KTS
12HR VT     29/0600Z 17.3N 118.3W   105 KTS
24HR VT     29/1800Z 17.9N 120.1W    95 KTS
36HR VT     30/0600Z 18.4N 122.0W    85 KTS
48HR VT     30/1800Z 18.7N 124.0W    75 KTS
72HR VT     01/1800Z 19.0N 127.0W    55 KTS