ZCZC MIAWRKPD3 LOC
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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT TUE JUN 23 1992
 
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH ANALYSIS CENTERS CONTINUE AT
MINIMAL STORM STRENGTH.  HOWEVER...INITIAL MOTION APPEARS TO BE
TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 KNOTS NOW.

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS
TRACK AS A RESULT OF THE MORE WESTERLY MOTION...AND JUST TO THE WEST
OF BAMM AS A BLEND.

ONLY SLIGHT ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SINCE THE STORM
SHOULD BE CROSSING THE 26 DEGREE C ISOTHERM SHORTLY.  MOREOVER...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER WESTERLIES AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM ON THE EXPECTED TRACK.

GERRISH

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     23/0900Z 16.8N 114.5W    35 KTS
12HR VT     23/1800Z 17.2N 116.1W    40 KTS
24HR VT     24/0600Z 17.9N 117.9W    40 KTS
36HR VT     24/1800Z 18.7N 119.4W    35 KTS
48HR VT     25/0600Z 19.6N 120.7W    30 KTS
72HR VT     26/0600Z 21.0N 122.0W    25 KTS