ZCZC MIAWRKPD3 LOC
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT MON JUN 22 1992

SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH ANALYSIS CENTERS ARE AT
MINIMAL STORM STRENGTH.  THEREFORE THE DEPRESSION IS BEING UPGRADED
TO A TROPICAL STORM AT THIS TIME.  THE SYSTEM IS SMALL BUT WELL
ORGANIZED WITH WELL DEFINED CIRRUS LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER ALL QUADRANTS
EXCEPT THE EAST.  HOWEVER ONLY SLIGHT ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS
FORECAST SINCE THE STORM SHOULD BE CROSSING THE 26 DEGREE C ISOTHERM
SHORTLY.  WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE IN A DAY OR SO.
 
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 295/09...AND THE CURRENT OFFICIAL
FORECAST MAINTAINS THIS GENERAL DIRECTION WITH A GRADUAL
SLOWING...IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE NHC91 MODEL.

PASCH 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     23/0300Z 16.9N 113.2W    35 KTS
12HR VT     23/1200Z 17.5N 114.3W    40 KTS
24HR VT     24/0000Z 18.2N 115.9W    35 KTS
36HR VT     24/1200Z 18.8N 117.4W    35 KTS
48HR VT     25/0000Z 19.5N 118.8W    30 KTS
72HR VT     26/0000Z 21.0N 121.0W    25 KTS