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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED JUN 03 1992
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER IS POORLY DEFINED ON INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY.  INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 345/06...LITTLE CHANGE FROM
PREVIOUS ADVISORY.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OVER LAND IN
ABOUT 12 HOURS.  GUIDANCE GENERALLY SHOWS SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION WITH
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST INDICATED BY P91E AND BAM DEEP.  OFFICIAL
TRACK FORECAST GOES ALONG WITH THIS AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN
ABOUT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WELL INLAND.

A SYMMETRIC AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE CENTER
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS TO SUPPORT THE CONTINUATION OF A MAXIMUM
ONE MINUTE WIND SPEED ESTIMATE AND FORECAST OF 60 KTS. 
 
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODS...AND MUD
SLIDES CONTINUES.
 
LAWRENCE 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     03/1500Z 17.4N 103.4W    60 KTS
12HR VT     04/0000Z 18.4N 103.5W    60 KTS
24HR VT     04/1200Z 19.5N 103.5W    40 KTS
36HR VT     05/0000Z 20.5N 102.5W    25 KTS
48HR VT     05/1200Z 21.0N 101.0W    DISSIPATED