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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
730 AM PDT SAT JUN 29 1991
 
ATTN WSFOS NMC F/D

SATELLITE AND SHIP DATA INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS VERY CLOSE
TO THE MEXICAN COAST SOUTHWEST AND NEAR SALINA CRUZ. BOTH NHC AND
SAB HAVE ESTIMATED WINDS OF 30 KT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION.
INTENSIFICATION IS NOT LIKELY DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO LAND. AS A
MATTER OF FACT...THE CENTER SHOULD BE INLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.  THE DEPRESSION IS ACCOMPANIED BY AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF RAIN
WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE STATE OF OAXACA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ALL TRACK MODELS AGREE IN A NORTHWEST MOTION OVER LAND THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK ENDS IN 24 HOURS WHEN THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE. 

AVILA
 
 
PRELIMINARY PROG POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     29/1500Z 15.8N  95.7W    30 KTS.
12HR VT     30/0000Z 16.7N  96.5W    25 KTS.
24HR VT     30/1200Z ..DISSIPATED.