ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JERRY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT WED AUG 23 1995 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...MAIN THREAT REMAINS HEAVY RAINFALL... AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD TO DEERFIELD BEACH. REPORTS FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE WINDS IN THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA HAVE REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THEREFORE IT IS BEING DESIGNATED A TROPICAL STORM...JERRY...THE TENTH OF THE SEASON. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.1 WEST OR VERY NEAR WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA. JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND ON THIS COURSE THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN SQUALLS MAINLY OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF JERRY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INLAND FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...RAINBANDS WITH WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JERRY WILL PROBABLY BE DOWNGRADED BACK TO DEPRESSION STATUS LATER TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...LOCALLY 8 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. SEE ISSUANCES FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...26.9 N... 80.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. PASCH STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC. NNNN