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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON AUG 28 1995
 
INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 55 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST
SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND THE NHC.  THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY
MAINTAIN ITS IDENTITY THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD AND NO CHANGE
IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 345/10.  CURRENT NHC FORECAST TRACK IS
SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT A LITTLE FASTER LATE IN THE PERIOD
AS THE SYSTEM GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE WESTERLIES.  CURRENT TRACK IS IN
BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL...DEEP LAYER BAM...AND NHC90.

MAYFIELD

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     28/0900Z 27.5N  49.3W    55 KTS
12HR VT     28/1800Z 29.0N  50.0W    55 KTS
24HR VT     29/0600Z 31.0N  50.5W    55 KTS
36HR VT     29/1800Z 32.5N  50.0W    55 KTS
48HR VT     30/0600Z 35.0N  48.0W    55 KTS
72HR VT     31/0600Z 40.0N  42.5W    55 KTS
 
 
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