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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 06 1995
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A TYPICAL SHEAR PATTERN...WITH AN EXPOSED
LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER TO THE WEST OF A SMALL CLUSTER OF
CONVECTION.  INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH
SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO INHIBIT ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.
 
THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY.  VERY LITTLE OVERALL MOTION
IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THEN THE CIRCULATION SHOULD
ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE
EASTERN U.S.  CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH
MOST TRACK PREDICTION MODELS.  THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS...HOWEVER ...
FOR THE SYSTEM TO DISSIPATE BEFORE THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
 
MAYFIELD
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     07/0300Z 31.3N  71.7W    30 KTS
12HR VT     07/1200Z 31.3N  72.0W    30 KTS
24HR VT     08/0000Z 31.5N  72.0W    30 KTS
36HR VT     08/1200Z 32.5N  71.5W    30 KTS
48HR VT     09/0000Z 34.5N  70.0W    30 KTS
72HR VT     10/0000Z 38.0N  66.0W    30 KTS
 
 
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