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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 1994
  
 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED BUT DRENCHING CUBA...

SATELLITE IMAGES...SURFACE AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REPORTS
INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.  AT
11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE BROAD AND DIFFUSE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.0 WEST OR ABOUT
130 MILES...200 KM...NORTH NORTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.  
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...AND SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
  
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA.   GIRON...CUBA REPORTED OVER TWELVE INCHES OF
RAIN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND OTHER STATIONS REPORTED IN EXCESS
OF FIVE INCHES.  ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN HALF OF CUBA THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...23.5 N... 86.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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