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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE FLORENCE DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST MON NOV 07 1994
 
FLORENCE IS MAINTAINING ITS IDENTITY QUITE NICELY AND STILL HAS A
WELL DEFINED EYE IN THE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.  INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS AT 85 KNOTS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE
ESTIMATES FROM BOTH SAB AND NHC.  ALTHOUGH THE HURRICANE IS MOVING
OVER COOLER WATERS...IT IS MOVING SO RAPIDLY THAT IT WILL BE SLOW TO
WEAKEN.  THE SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
AND WILL LIKELY BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 060/35.  FLORENCE SHOULD CONTINUE RACING
RAPIDLY TOWARD THE ENE OR NE IN ADVANCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE STORM
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND.  THE RAPID MOTION MAKES THIS
SYSTEM A MAJOR CONCERN FOR SHIPPING INTERESTS.  THE FORECAST
POSITIONS THROUGH 24 HOURS HAVE BEEN COORDINATED WITH THE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTER IN BRACKNELL.  OUR CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS BASICALLY AN
UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

MAYFIELD
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     08/0300Z 38.1N  47.8W    85 KTS
12HR VT     08/1200Z 40.5N  42.0W    70 KTS
24HR VT     09/0000Z 45.0N  35.5W    60 KTS
36HR VT     09/1200Z 50.0N  29.0W    55 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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